Early Action , Early Warning System , Evidence , Forecast , Lessons Learnt , Risk , Scaling up

Start Fund: Evaluation of Crisis Anticipation

This external evaluation and management response reviews the progress and results of the first three years of Crisis Anticipation within the Start Fund. It focuses on three key areas: impact of …

The future of forecasts: Impact-based forecasting for early action

The guide outlines steps needed to develop an impact-based forecasting service that enables anticipatory actions, combining existing forecast-based financing methodology with the technical expertise …

Early Action , Evidence , Forecast , Lessons Learnt , Risk

Household-level effects of providing forecast-based cash in anticipation of extreme weather events: Quasi-experimental evidence from …

This article examines the operation and outcomes of the forecast-based financing program in the 2017 Bangladesh floods which distributed unconditional cash to 1039 households, showing the positive …

Early Action , Early Warning System

Building resilience to climate risks through social protection: from individualised models to systemic transformation

This article examines the role of social protection systems in bolstering resilience to climate shocks and hazards. Through case studies of Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda, the authors argue that social …

Moving from drought hazard to impact forecasts

Early Warning System

Assessing time, cost and quality trade-offs in forecast-based action for floods

This paper presents a method to assess the value added of Early Warning Early Action Systems, and the trade-offs and dilemmas faced by decision-makers in weighing the quality of forecasts and …

Conflict , Emerging Topics

An Agenda for Expanding Forecast-based Action to Situations of Conflict

Forecast-based humanitarian action enables actors to start their work before a predicted disaster strikes. This can prevent the loss of many more lives and livelihoods than purely reactive …

Lessons Learnt

The Cost of Doing Nothing

In its latest report, The Cost of Doing Nothing, the IFRC presents an analysis showing that if no urgent action is taken now, the number of people in need of humanitarian assistance annually due to …

Early Action

Forecast-Based Financing: Case Studies from Togo and Uganda