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Conflict
Climate change and weather related disasters are already affecting risks globally. People in areas of conflict are often particularly vulnerable to changing threats, as well as shocks and stresses. The anticipatory action approach has largely been developed to prevent or mitigate the impact of hydrometeorological hazards during peace times, but there is a clear need to further explore the value of anticipatory action approaches in conflict settings. This paper argues that anticipatory action could be expanded to conflict contexts and outlines practical considerations for how to approach these complex situations.
This supplementary policy-focused PeaceLab blog written by GPPi provides concrete recommendations for the German government on how to expand anticipatory action to situations of conflict (in German).
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Photo by Emil Helotie/Finnish Red Cross
Additional resources
- Accessing and Using Climate Data and Information in Fragile, Data-Poor States
- Anticipatory Action in Refugee and IDP Camps: Challenges, Opportunities, and Considerations
- Compound Risk Analysis: Climate & Conflict in Sudan: Hot Spot Mapping to inform Anticipatory Action and OpenStreetMap mapping
- Climate displacement, humanitarian needs and Forecast-based financing
- Conflict Escalation in Marib and Potential Humanitarian and Economic Impacts: Scenario - How Might Conflict Developments in Marib Affect Displacement and the Economy in Yemen? (ACAPS, 2021)
- Double Vulnerability: the humanitarian implications of intersecting climate and conflict risks.
- Exploring Early Warning Early Action in conflict and mass migration settings. The case of Colombia and the Philippines - FAO (2020)
- People’s experience of conflict, climate risk and resilience
- People’s experience of conflict, climate risk and resilience: the Hague roundtable, 3 May 2019.
- People’s experience of conflict, climate risk and resilience: the Nairobi roundatable, 17 January 2019
- The Tumerington case - An Anticipatory Action role play exercise with a context of conflict, displacement, & climate change
- Trauma-Informed Anticipatory Action: Considerations for Refugees and Other Displaced Populations
- When rain turns to dust: Understanding and responding to the combined impact of armed conflicts and the climate and environment crisis on people’s lives (by ICRC, 2020)
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Catalina Jaime
Manager, climate and conflict; Lead, anticipatory action in conflictRed Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
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