Climate change and weather related disasters are already affecting risks globally. People in areas of conflict are often particularly vulnerable to changing threats, as well as shocks and stresses. The anticipatory action approach has largely been developed to prevent or mitigate the impact of hydrometeorological hazards during peace times, but there is a clear need to further explore the value of anticipatory action approaches in conflict settings. This paper argues that anticipatory action could be expanded to conflict contexts and outlines practical considerations for how to approach these complex situations.

This supplementary policy-focused PeaceLab blog written by GPPi provides concrete recommendations for the German government on how to expand anticipatory action to situations of conflict (in German).   

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Photo by Emil Helotie/Finnish Red Cross


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Catalina Jaime

Manager, climate and conflict; Lead, anticipatory action in conflict

Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

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