• Nigeria

From pilot to policy: how governments are leading anticipatory action

A new OCHA impact story shows how CERF financing, inclusive coordination and technical support are helping governments embed anticipatory action in national systems – strengthening leadership and enabling action before disasters hit.

  • Evidence
  • Scaling up

From pilot to policy: how governments are leading anticipatory action

Climate shocks are arriving in faster and more intense cycles. In Cuba, Hurricane  Melissa hit communities still recovering from Hurricane Oscar and months of drought. In Mozambique, three cyclones struck in a single season. In the Philippines, six typhoons made landfall within five weeks.

Yet alongside growing risk, there is growing hope. Countries are learning that acting in the critical window between a hazard being forecast and its peak impact can prevent families from falling into crisis.

Over the past decade, OCHA and partners have used forecasts to trigger pre‑agreed actions and financing before disasters strike, scaled up through the UN’s Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF). In 2025, governments in Burkina Faso, Cuba, Fiji, Mozambique, Nigeria and the Philippines took the lead in anticipatory action.

A new OCHA impact story shows how CERF financing, inclusive coordination and technical support are helping governments embed anticipatory action in national systems – strengthening leadership and enabling action before disasters hit.

“When we stood together in Adamawa, we didn’t see the usual aftermath of floods. We saw families who still had their homes, farmers who still had their seeds, and resilient communities who still had their dignity… We refuse to return to a system that only arrives after hope has drowned.”

Inna Audu Special adviser to the vice-president of Nigeria