Global Displacement Forecast 2026: Snapshot of Key Findings

This report presents forecasts of forced displacement in 2026 and 2027 generated by Danish Refugee Council’s Foresight model, developed with IBM and supported by the Danish and Dutch Ministries of Foreign Affairs. Drawing on historical patterns across 148 displacement-relevant indicators from 18 open data sources, the model forecasts cumulative forced displacement one to three years ahead.

Publish Date

April 14, 2026

Resource Type

PDF, 1.56 MB

Authors

Danish Refugee Council

Year

2026

Country

Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Colombia, Democratic Republic of Congo, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Guatemala, Honduras, Iraq, Mali, Mozambique, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Palestine, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Syria, Ukraine, Venezuela, Yemen

Region

Africa, Americas, Europe, MENA

Content Type

Report

Thematic Area

Conflict, Forecast

Hazard

Conflict, Displacement