Anticipatory Action for conflict-induced displacement in South Sudan

The Danish Refugee Council developed an anticipatory action approach to support conflict-affected communities in Akobo, South Sudan, piloting a model to predict potential displacement caused by conflict events and to trigger anticipatory actions to support communities. The response mechanism was triggered in mid-May 2024 when the predictive model forecast that 1,500 people would be displaced over the subsequent three months. When the triggers were reached, an activation occurred in which the Danish Refugee Council invested in intercommunity dialogue between the communities to reduce tensions. This assessment of the model and activation shows that a vast, positive enhancement in dignity and cost-efficiency for displacement-affected communities that can be reached if conflict- and protection-sensitive anticipatory action for conflict-induced displacement is scaled up.